Cherry Charlie118: (Over)use of the whip in the closing stages

Sunday, July 12, 2009

(Over)use of the whip in the closing stages - by Tony Paley

by Tony Paley

Phew - now that was a horserace as crack Hong Kong sprinter Sacred Kingdom bounces back to form and defies the previously unbeaten red-hot favourite Rocket Man in a ding-dong battle up the straight for the International Sprint title at Kranji in Singapore.

Brett Prebble on Sacred Kingdom would surely have been straight into the stewards' room if he had ridden a horse like that in Britain such was his (over)use of the whip in the closing stages.

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When we select and place our bet on a particular horse, we are saying we based on our interpretation of the information gathered and received by us. We believe that by reading and interpreting it correctly we have done our homework well and endeavor to predict the outcome of the race correctly on that particular horse to win. It isn't the horse's true chances; it is our interpretation of the information gathered by us. This moves the conflict from the horse's real and true chances to our abilities against the crowd. We are betting the horses on the basis of their probability of winning as per our own handicapping skill.

It is only making good bets and there is no best method, system, theory or strategy and there is no secret formula to handicapping or betting because every race and situation is different. It is a game of choice as well as decision making and as much as we are looking for a probable winner. Choices and decisions making apply to anything and everything we do and usually it is based on our own point of view. The Turf Club makes its money no matter which horse wins and that is why it is called Pari-Mutuel wagering.

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Cherry Charlie118

Sunday, July 12, 2009

(Over)use of the whip in the closing stages - by Tony Paley

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